US forces have returned 23 vessels to Iran as part of a naval blockade, and the Strait of Hormuz traffic normalization market ...

Aave's price dropped 12% after Kelp DAO's $280M DeFi exploit. Ethereum reaching $10,000 by December 31, 2026 is at 4% YES.

Israel prepares for potential Iran escalation as US military posture shifts. Ceasefire ending by April 21 now at 20% YES.

Lindsey Graham claims Iran's military holds real power, with the chance of regime collapse by May 31 now at 3.6% YES.

U.S. military planes land in the region as Iran warns of conflict escalation. Ceasefire ending by April 21 at 20.5% YES.

Netherlands activates energy crisis plan amid oil disruptions. US crude oil reserves falling to 325M by May 1 at 1.1% YES.

On-chain analyst @zachxbt reports a $280M theft from DeFi protocols on Ethereum and Arbitrum, while unresolved issues from ...

Iran's Rezaei dismisses Trump's nuclear claims as 'April lies.' Ceasefire breach announcement by April 21 at 23% YES.

IRGC warns vessels in the Strait of Hormuz will be targeted if ignored. UK sending warships by April 30, 2026 at 8.5% YES.

Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz, raising tensions with the US. WTI Crude Oil hitting $160 in April at 1.4% YES.

Trump ordered Israel to halt attacks on Lebanon, enforcing a 10-day ceasefire. Market on Trump endorsing ceasefire by April ...

Trump has confirmed a China visit for May 14-15, 2026, pushing the Polymarket odds for a visit by May 31 to 89.5% YES, up ...